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Photo: shodan
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
12 Jan 2026 · T20
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
Pretoria Capitals started on 47%; Pretoria Capitals batted first.
Pretoria Capitals's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (MI Cape Town: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HE van der Dussencaught · Jordan Cox · Lungi Ngidi 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Lungi Ngidi | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 115.38 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Connor Esterhuizen · Gideon Peters1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Connor Esterhuizen · b Gideon Peters | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
 Reeza Hendricksnot out4 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 68* | 50 | 4 | 4 | 136.00 |
| Nicolas Poorancaught · Lungi Ngidi · Andre Russell 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Lungi Ngidi · b Andre Russell | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 283.33 |
| caught · Dewald Brevis · b Gideon Peters |
| 2 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 28.57 |
| Karim Janatcaught · Dewald Brevis · Gideon Peters 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dewald Brevis · b Gideon Peters | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| George Lindecaught · Connor Esterhuizen · Keshav Maharaj 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Connor Esterhuizen · b Keshav Maharaj | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jason Smithcaught · Sherfane Rutherford · Lizaad Williams 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sherfane Rutherford · b Lizaad Williams | 13 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 76.47 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lungi Ngidi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Lizaad Williams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Andre Russell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gideon Peters1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Keshav Maharaj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (HE van der Dussen, 2.5) · 2-28 (Ryan Rickelton, 5.1) · 3-46 (Nicolas Pooran, 6.2) · 4-54 (Corbin Bosch, 8.2) · 5-54 (Karim Janat, 8.5) · 6-55 (George Linde, 10.0) · 7-89 (Jason Smith, 15.5)
Recorded target: 186 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 48/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 54/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 54/5 |
| 10 | 1 | 55/6 |
| 11 | 4 | 59/6 |
| 12 | 5 | 64/6 |
| 13 | 6 | 70/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 77/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 84/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 90/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 94/7 |
| 18 | 16 | 110/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 118/7 |
| 20 | 14 | 132/7 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andre Russell: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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