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Thailand Women tour of Papua New Guinea · 2026 · Women
15 Aug 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 48%; Thailand batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Dorigalbw · Phannita Maya 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Phannita Maya | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Naoani Varelbw · Phannita Maya 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Phannita Maya | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Brenda Taucaught · Phannita Maya · T Putthawong 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phannita Maya · b T Putthawong | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Tanya Rumacaught · Phannita Maya · T Putthawong 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phannita Maya · b T Putthawong | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| K Frankbowled · Chanida Sutthiruang 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chanida Sutthiruang | 7 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
Thailand's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught and bowled · b Onnicha Kamchomphu |
| 21 |
| 22 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 95.45 |
| Sibona Jimmycaught · Aphisara Suwanchonrathi · T Putthawong 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aphisara Suwanchonrathi · b T Putthawong | 32 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 58.18 |
|---|
| HJ Thomasbowled · Phannita Maya 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Phannita Maya | 35 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Isabel Touacaught and bowled · S Chaturongrattana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b S Chaturongrattana | 15 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 51.72 |
|---|
| D Lohialbw · Onnicha Kamchomphu 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Onnicha Kamchomphu | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| V Burukanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phannita Maya1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 |
| T Putthawong0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| S Chaturongrattana1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 2.30 | 0 | 0 |
 Onnicha Kamchomphu1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 34 | 2 | 3.40 | 3 | 0 |
 Chanida Sutthiruang2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Suleeporn Laomi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Aphisara Suwanchonrathi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (H Doriga, 2.1) · 2-15 (Brenda Tau, 5.1) · 3-17 (Naoani Vare, 6.5) · 4-21 (Tanya Ruma, 9.1) · 5-50 (Pauke Siaka, 17.1) · 6-50 (K Frank, 18.2) · 7-115 (HJ Thomas, 36.4) · 8-135 (Sibona Jimmy, 41.2) · 9-145 (Isabel Toua, 44.1) · 10-151 (D Lohia, 46.0)
Recorded target: 192 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 17/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 19/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 21/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 23/4 |
| 11 | 0 | 23/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 35/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 37/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 41/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 42/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 45/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 50/4 |
| 18 | 0 | 50/5 |
| 19 | 0 | 50/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 54/6 |
| 21 | 1 | 55/6 |
| 22 | 6 | 61/6 |
| 23 | 0 | 61/6 |
| 24 | 4 | 65/6 |
| 25 | 3 | 68/6 |
| 26 | 4 | 72/6 |
| 27 | 6 | 78/6 |
| 28 | 5 | 83/6 |
| 29 | 8 | 91/6 |
| 30 | 2 | 93/6 |
| 31 | 2 | 95/6 |
| 32 | 6 | 101/6 |
| 33 | 2 | 103/6 |
| 34 | 2 | 105/6 |
| 35 | 5 | 110/6 |
| 36 | 3 | 113/6 |
| 37 | 2 | 115/7 |
| 38 | 4 | 119/7 |
| 39 | 5 | 124/7 |
| 40 | 7 | 131/7 |
| 41 | 4 | 135/7 |
| 42 | 2 | 137/8 |
| 43 | 1 | 138/8 |
| 44 | 7 | 145/8 |
| 45 | 1 | 146/9 |
| 46 | 5 | 151/10 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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