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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
29 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 42%; Oman batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryansh Sharmacaught · Vinayak Shukla · Samay Shrivastava 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Samay Shrivastava | 49 | 61 | 6 | 0 | 80.33 |
| T Suricaught · Zikria Islam · Shakeel Ahmed 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zikria Islam · b Shakeel Ahmed | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Muhammad Shahdadcaught · Jeet Shah · Samay Shrivastava 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jeet Shah · b Samay Shrivastava | 21 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 40.38 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Jeet Shah · Samay Shrivastava 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jeet Shah · b Samay Shrivastava | 34 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 57.63 |
| Akshdeep Nathcaught · Hammad Mirza · Muhammed Imran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Muhammed Imran | 14 | 33 |
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 42.42 |
| Waseem Muhammadbowled · Hassnain Shah 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hassnain Shah | 43 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 122.86 |
|---|
| Awais Ali Shahnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 33 | 2 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| Basil Hameednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammed Imran1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 64 | 1 | 6.40 | 2 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 1.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.3 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 5.37 | 2 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 2.70 | 1 | 0 |
| Mujibur Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 3.86 | 0 | 0 |
| AR Bisht0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (T Suri, 1.2) · 2-79 (Muhammad Shahdad, 19.2) · 3-86 (Aryansh Sharma, 21.2) · 4-119 (Akshdeep Nath, 32.4) · 5-135 (Rahul Chopra, 36.3) · 6-190 (Waseem Muhammad, 46.0)
Recorded target: 197 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 22/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 29/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 33/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 34/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 39/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 40/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 46/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 50/1 |
| 15 | 11 | 61/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 67/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 72/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 75/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 78/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 81/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 86/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 89/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 90/3 |
| 24 | 3 | 93/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 96/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 103/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 107/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 108/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 110/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 110/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 114/3 |
| 33 | 7 | 121/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 122/4 |
| 35 | 7 | 129/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 135/4 |
| 37 | 0 | 135/5 |
| 38 | 13 | 148/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 150/5 |
| 40 | 5 | 155/5 |
| 41 | 11 | 166/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 170/5 |
| 43 | 2 | 172/5 |
| 44 | 7 | 179/5 |
| 45 | 3 | 182/5 |
| 46 | 8 | 190/6 |
| 47 | 4 | 194/6 |
| 48 | 5 | 199/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.