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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier A · 2024 · Men
2 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Myanmar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 62%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 58% to 100% during the match (Mongolia: 0% to 42%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Natsagdorjcaught · Paing Danu · Aung Ko Ko 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paing Danu · b Aung Ko Ko | 11 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 31.43 |
| Gandemberel Ganboldcaught · Ko Ko Lin Thu · Pyae Phyo Wai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ko Ko Lin Thu · b Pyae Phyo Wai | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| N Naranbaatarcaught · Khin Aye · Thuya Aung 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khin Aye · b Thuya Aung | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| M Vivekanandanlbw · Thuya Aung 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Thuya Aung | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Luwsanzundui Erdenebulgancaught · Paing Danu · Htet Lin Aung 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paing Danu · b Htet Lin Aung | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sodbileg Gantulgarun out · Paing Danu, Khin Aye · Thuya Aung 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Paing Danu, Khin Aye |
| 6 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 150.00 |
| Temuulen Amarmendcaught · Paing Danu · Khin Aye 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paing Danu · b Khin Aye | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
| Namsrai Bat-yalaltstumped · Thuya Aung · Aung Ko Ko 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Thuya Aung · b Aung Ko Ko | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Od Lutbayarbowled · Khin Aye 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Khin Aye | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 38.89 |
|---|
| Tumursukh Turmunkhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Zoljavkhlan Shurentsetsegnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyae Phyo Wai2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Paing Danu0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Thuya Aung0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Htet Lin Aung0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Aung Ko Ko0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Khin Aye0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-11 (Gandemberel Ganbold, 4.1) · 2-19 (N Naranbaatar, 7.3) · 3-21 (M Vivekanandan, 7.5) · 4-22 (Luwsanzundui Erdenebulgan, 8.5) · 5-28 (Sodbileg Gantulga, 9.3) · 6-35 (S Natsagdorj, 11.1) · 7-35 (Namsrai Bat-yalalt, 11.2) · 8-49 (Od Lutbayar, 16.1) · 9-55 (Temuulen Amarmend, 18.4)
Recorded target: 133 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 17/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 21/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 23/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 32/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 35/5 |
| 12 | 1 | 36/7 |
| 13 | 4 | 40/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 44/7 |
| 15 | 2 | 46/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 49/7 |
| 17 | 1 | 50/8 |
| 18 | 2 | 52/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 56/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 61/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.