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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 56%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 76% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 24% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkecaught · Luke Wells · Luke Wood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wells · b Luke Wood | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| SJ Seecharancaught and bowled · Tom Hartley 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Tom Hartley | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Jack Haynescaught · Philip Salt · Luke Wood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Philip Salt · b Luke Wood | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Matthew Montgomerylbw · Tom Hartley 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tom Hartley | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Lyndon Jamesbowled · Luke Wells 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Luke Wells | 20 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
| run out · Chris Green |
| 75 |
| 42 |
| 7 |
| 4 |
| 178.57 |
 Daniel Samsnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 17* | 9 | 1 | 1 | 188.89 |
|---|
| Calvin Harrisonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Stanley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Joe Clarke, 0.5) · 2-6 (SJ Seecharan, 1.2) · 3-10 (Matthew Montgomery, 2.0) · 4-14 (Jack Haynes, 2.5) · 5-95 (Lyndon James, 11.4) · 6-126 (Tom Moores, 15.1)
Recorded target: 127 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/3 |
| 3 | 4 | 14/4 |
| 4 | 5 | 19/4 |
| 5 | 10 | 29/4 |
| 6 | 15 | 44/4 |
| 7 | 11 | 55/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 62/4 |
| 9 | 12 | 74/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 87/4 |
| 12 | 14 | 101/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 106/5 |
| 14 | 13 | 119/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 125/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 127/6 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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