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Photo: Electricmaster
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Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
15 Jan 2024 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Hobart Hurricanes started on 44%; Hobart Hurricanes batted first.
Hobart Hurricanes's chances ranged from 44% to 99% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 2% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 15 Jan 2024, Hobart Hurricanes played Melbourne Stars at Melbourne Cricket Ground. Recorded result: Hobart Hurricanes won by 7 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.