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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
10 Jan 2024 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 45%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Perth Scorchers: 0% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Spencer Johnson · Michael Neser1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Spencer Johnson · b Michael Neser | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Sam Whitemancaught · Sam Billings · Spencer Johnson 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Spencer Johnson | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Aaron Hardiecaught · Matthew Kuhnemann · Paul Walter 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Kuhnemann · b Paul Walter | 14 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 87.50 |
 Josh Ingliscaught · Michael Neser · Spencer Johnson5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Neser · b Spencer Johnson | 28 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Laurie Evanscaught and bowled · Paul Walter 2 fours · 3 sixes |
|---|
| caught and bowled · b Paul Walter |
| 51 |
| 29 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 175.86 |
| Cooper Connollycaught · Matt Renshaw · Matthew Kuhnemann 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
 Ashton Agarcaught · Xavier Bartlett · Michael Neser0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Xavier Bartlett · b Michael Neser | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Jhye Richardsonbowled · Xavier Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Xavier Bartlett | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Hamish McKenziebowled · Xavier Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Xavier Bartlett | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Jason Behrendorffnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michael Neser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Zak Crawley, 3.0) · 2-40 (Sam Whiteman, 6.0) · 3-58 (Aaron Hardie, 8.2) · 4-106 (Josh Inglis, 12.4) · 5-138 (Cooper Connolly, 15.3) · 6-152 (Ashton Agar, 17.3) · 7-156 (Laurie Evans, 18.2) · 8-167 (Hamish McKenzie, 19.4) · 9-168 (Jhye Richardson, 20.0)
Recorded target: 192 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 68/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 80/3 |
| 11 | 15 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 108/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 122/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 135/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 139/5 |
| 17 | 9 | 148/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 155/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 162/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 168/9 |
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Behrendorff: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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