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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jun 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 51%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkecaught · Brooke Guest · Daryn Dupavillon 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brooke Guest · b Daryn Dupavillon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Alex Halescaught · Cam Fletcher · Daryn Dupavillon3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cam Fletcher · b Daryn Dupavillon | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Will Youngcaught · David Lloyd · Patrick Brown1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Lloyd · b Patrick Brown | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| James Hayesbowled · Daryn Dupavillon 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daryn Dupavillon | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| caught · Patrick Brown · b Ross Whiteley |
| 17 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 113.33 |
 Tom Mooreslbw · Ross Whiteley1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Ross Whiteley | 17 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 121.43 |
|---|
| Lyndon Jamescaught · Cam Fletcher · Samit Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cam Fletcher · b Samit Patel | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
|---|
| Calvin Harrisonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Oli Stonecaught · Mitch Wagstaff · Ross Whiteley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitch Wagstaff · b Ross Whiteley | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Dillon Penningtoncaught · Aneurin Donald · Patrick Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Patrick Brown | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Benjamin Listercaught · Aneurin Donald · Patrick Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Patrick Brown | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daryn Dupavillon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Zak Chappell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 6.38 | 1 | 0 |
 Mitch Wagstaff0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Ross Whiteley0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 3 | 0 |
1-0 (Joe Clarke, 0.1) · 2-25 (Alex Hales, 3.4) · 3-32 (Will Young, 4.5) · 4-36 (James Hayes, 5.2) · 5-62 (Tom Moores, 9.1) · 6-79 (Matthew Montgomery, 11.5) · 7-88 (Lyndon James, 14.1) · 8-95 (Oli Stone, 15.2) · 9-102 (Dillon Pennington, 16.2) · 10-102 (Benjamin Lister, 16.4)
Recorded target: 199 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 36/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 38/4 |
| 7 | 11 | 49/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 56/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 62/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 69/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 75/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 79/6 |
| 13 | 4 | 83/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 88/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 94/7 |
| 16 | 7 | 101/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 102/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Hales: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Mitch Wagstaff: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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