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Canada tour of United States of America · 2024 · Men
9 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 53%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Johnsoncaught · Jasdeep Singh · NK Patel 6 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b NK Patel | 74 | 40 | 6 | 6 | 185.00 |
| Srimantha Wijeratnelbw · Saurabh Netravalkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Pargat Singhcaught · Aaron Jones · Saurabh Netravalkar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aaron Jones · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 27 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 103.85 |
| Nicholas Kirtoncaught · Monank Patel · Shadley van Schalkwyk 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Monank Patel · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 233.33 |
| Navneet Dhaliwalcaught · Shadley van Schalkwyk · Steven Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadley van Schalkwyk · b Steven Taylor | 6 | 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Harsh Thakernot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 34* | 17 | 4 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Saad Bin Zafarcaught · Monank Patel · Shadley van Schalkwyk0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Monank Patel · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Parveen Kumar (2)caught · Nosthush Kenjige · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nosthush Kenjige · b Jasdeep Singh | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Dillon Heyligercaught · Saurabh Netravalkar · Nosthush Kenjige 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saurabh Netravalkar · b Nosthush Kenjige | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 275.00 |
|---|
| RR Joshicaught · Monank Patel · Harmeet Singh 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Monank Patel · b Harmeet Singh | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Uday Bhagwancaught · Jasdeep Singh · Harmeet Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b Harmeet Singh | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Shadley van Schalkwyk0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 2 | 12.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 5.25 | 3 | 0 |
| NK Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Srimantha Wijeratne, 1.0) · 2-112 (Pargat Singh, 10.5) · 3-114 (Aaron Johnson, 11.3) · 4-140 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 13.5) · 5-146 (Nicholas Kirton, 14.4) · 6-146 (Saad Bin Zafar, 15.0) · 7-161 (Parveen Kumar (2), 16.2) · 8-178 (Dillon Heyliger, 17.3) · 9-195 (RR Joshi, 19.1) · 10-199 (Uday Bhagwan, 19.4)
Recorded target: 231 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 24/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 65/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 75/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 82/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 97/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 100/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 112/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 121/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 132/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 141/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 146/6 |
| 16 | 13 | 159/6 |
| 17 | 14 | 173/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 180/8 |
| 19 | 15 | 195/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 199/10 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
