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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
25 May 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 57%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkebowled · Tom Hartley 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Tom Hartley | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 140.00 |
| George Munseycaught · Keaton Jennings · George Balderson 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b George Balderson | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 176.19 |
| Jack Haynescaught · Tom Hartley · Harry Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Hartley · b Harry Singh | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
 Tom Moorescaught · Tom Hartley · George Balderson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Hartley · b George Balderson | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Freddie McCanncaught · Harry Singh · Tom Hartley 0 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Harry Singh · b Tom Hartley |
| 13 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 81.25 |
| George Lindecaught · Harry Singh · Chris Green 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Singh · b Chris Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 107.69 |
|---|
 Benny Howellcaught · Tom Hartley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Tom Hartley | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| JA Pocklingtonbowled · Tom Hartley 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Hartley | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Farhan Ahmedcaught · Keaton Jennings · Saqib Mahmood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b Saqib Mahmood | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Dillon Penningtonnot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 37* | 18 | 3 | 2 | 205.56 |
|---|
| Mohammad Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 5.22 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| George Balderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Harry Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-58 (Joe Clarke, 5.2) · 2-67 (George Munsey, 7.1) · 3-73 (Tom Moores, 8.0) · 4-85 (Jack Haynes, 10.3) · 5-105 (Freddie McCann, 13.2) · 6-111 (George Linde, 14.2) · 7-120 (JA Pocklington, 15.1) · 8-121 (Benny Howell, 15.3) · 9-140 (Farhan Ahmed, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 20 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 50/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 57/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 73/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 77/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 83/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 85/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 89/4 |
| 13 | 15 | 104/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 109/5 |
| 15 | 11 | 120/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 124/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 139/8 |
| 18 | 11 | 150/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 156/9 |
| 20 | 13 | 169/9 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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