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Namibia tour of Zimbabwe · 2025/26 · Men
18 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 33%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · Bernard Scholtz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b Bernard Scholtz | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Tadiwanashe Marumanicaught · Bernard Scholtz · Gerhard Erasmus 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bernard Scholtz · b Gerhard Erasmus | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 333.33 |
 Brendan Taylorbowled · JJ Smit0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JJ Smit | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Sean Williamslbw · JJ Smit10 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b JJ Smit | 77 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 171.11 |
| caught · Ruben Trumpelmann · b JJ Smit |
| 8 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Ryan Burlcaught and bowled · Gerhard Erasmus 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Gerhard Erasmus | 32 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Tashinga Musekiwacaught · MB Kruger · Ruben Trumpelmann 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MB Kruger · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.18 |
|---|
| Tinotenda Maposacaught · Zane Green · JJ Smit 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b JJ Smit | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Wellington Masakadzacaught · A Busing-Volschenk · Ruben Trumpelmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Busing-Volschenk · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanilbw · Ben Shikongo 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ben Shikongo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Trevor Gwandunot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Shikongo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 9.13 | 0 | 0 |
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 4 | 7.25 | 1 | 1 |
| Ruben Trumpelmann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan-Izak de Villiers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Tadiwanashe Marumani, 0.4) · 2-15 (Brian Bennett, 1.4) · 3-32 (Brendan Taylor, 3.3) · 4-44 (Sikandar Raza, 5.5) · 5-109 (Ryan Burl, 13.2) · 6-150 (Tashinga Musekiwa, 16.5) · 7-159 (Tinotenda Maposa, 17.3) · 8-162 (Sean Williams, 18.0) · 9-162 (Wellington Masakadza, 18.1) · 10-176 (Blessing Muzarabani, 19.5)
Recorded target: 205 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 19/2 |
| 3 | 11 | 30/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 36/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 42/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 44/4 |
| 7 | 9 | 53/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 59/4 |
| 9 | 10 | 69/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 74/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 82/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 94/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 105/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 112/5 |
| 15 | 10 | 122/5 |
| 16 | 13 | 135/5 |
| 17 | 16 | 151/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 162/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 169/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 176/10 |
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Shikongo: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
