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Photo: Benchill
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
18 Jan 2026 · T20
University Oval, Dunedin · Venue photographRecorded result
Northern Districts started on 48%; Northern Districts batted first.
Northern Districts's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Otago: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JM Cummingbowled · Zak Gibson 5 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Zak Gibson | 38 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 180.95 |
| Jamal Toddcaught · Zak Gibson · Scott Kuggeleijn 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Gibson · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Max Chucaught and bowled · Matthew Fisher4 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matthew Fisher | 37 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 194.74 |
| Jack Boylecaught · Ben Pomare · Zak Gibson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Pomare · b Zak Gibson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Troy Johnsoncaught · Brett Hampton · Zak Gibson 4 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Brett Hampton · b Zak Gibson |
| 34 |
| 4 |
| 5 |
| 194.12 |
| R Clintoncaught · Xavier Bell · Brett Hampton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Xavier Bell · b Brett Hampton | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Jake Gibsonnot out 1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 35* | 18 | 1 | 3 | 194.44 |
|---|
| Ben Lockrosecaught · Matthew Fisher · Scott Kuggeleijn 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Fisher · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Zac Cummingcaught · Ollie White · Scott Kuggeleijn1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie White · b Scott Kuggeleijn | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Danru Fernsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Fisher1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Scott Kuggeleijn0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Tim Pringle0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ollie White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zak Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Jamal Todd, 2.0) · 2-76 (JM Cumming, 7.1) · 3-76 (Jack Boyle, 7.3) · 4-88 (Max Chu, 9.0) · 5-109 (R Clinton, 12.0) · 6-180 (Troy Johnson, 17.3) · 7-189 (Ben Lockrose, 18.1) · 8-193 (Zac Cumming, 18.3)
Recorded target: 232 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 62/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 76/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 79/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 88/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 93/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 103/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 109/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 115/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 124/5 |
| 15 | 10 | 134/5 |
| 16 | 18 | 152/5 |
| 17 | 18 | 170/5 |
| 18 | 19 | 189/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 197/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 200/8 |
Zac Cumming: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Pringle: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Xavier Bell: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
