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Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
4 Jan 2026 · T20
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui · Venue photographRecorded result
Northern Districts started on 43%; Northern Districts batted first.
Northern Districts's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Otago: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicity Leydon-Daviscaught · MBA Lamplough · LF Boucher 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MBA Lamplough · b LF Boucher | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
| Bella Jamescaught · Jess Watkin · LF Boucher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Watkin · b LF Boucher | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| CG Blakelylbw · LF Boucher 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b LF Boucher | 16 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 114.29 |
| PJ Watkinsstumped · HE Topp · Nensi Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · HE Topp · b Nensi Patel | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Polly Ingliscaught · MBA Lamplough · LF Boucher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MBA Lamplough · b LF Boucher | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| run out · HE Topp, LF Boucher |
| 24 |
| 22 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 109.09 |
| Olivia Gaincaught · Kayley Knight · MW Downes 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kayley Knight · b MW Downes | 36 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 144.00 |
|---|
| Eva Graybowled · Kayley Knight 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kayley Knight | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Emma Blackcaught · MBA Lamplough · Jess Watkin 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MBA Lamplough · b Jess Watkin | 9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| CM Deernessstumped · HE Topp · Jess Watkin 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · HE Topp · b Jess Watkin | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| LM Kotkampnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MW Downes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| LF Boucher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nensi Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayley Knight0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Jess Watkin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.26 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Bella James, 1.3) · 2-16 (Felicity Leydon-Davis, 3.4) · 3-31 (CG Blakely, 5.4) · 4-31 (Polly Inglis, 6.0) · 5-31 (PJ Watkins, 6.1) · 6-87 (Olivia Gain, 12.4) · 7-93 (Eva Gray, 13.4) · 8-106 (AS Browning, 16.2) · 9-107 (Emma Black, 16.4) · 10-114 (CM Deerness, 18.5)
Recorded target: 139 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 23/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 31/4 |
| 7 | 8 | 39/5 |
| 8 | 4 | 43/5 |
| 9 | 9 | 52/5 |
| 10 | 9 | 61/5 |
| 11 | 11 | 72/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 82/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 87/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 93/7 |
| 15 | 7 | 100/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 105/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 108/9 |
| 18 | 3 | 111/9 |
| 19 | 3 | 114/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.