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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 55%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 24% to 97% during the match (Glamorgan: 3% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · James Sales · Ben Sanderson1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Sales · b Ben Sanderson | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
| William Smalelbw · Calvin Harrison 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Calvin Harrison | 24 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Colin Ingramcaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Calvin Harrison 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Calvin Harrison | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 181.82 |
 |
| lbw · b James Sales |
| 7 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 140.00 |
 Chris Cookecaught · Louis Kimber · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Louis Kimber · b George Scrimshaw | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitenot out 1 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 51* | 34 | 1 | 5 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Lewis McManus · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Mason Cranecaught · Lewis McManus · George Scrimshaw2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw | 23 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 115.00 |
|---|
 Ned Leonardnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.57 | 2 | 0 |
| James Sales0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 6 | 0 |
1-14 (Kiran Carlson, 1.3) · 2-25 (Colin Ingram, 2.4) · 3-65 (BI Kellaway, 7.2) · 4-72 (Sean Dickson, 8.1) · 5-77 (William Smale, 9.3) · 6-92 (Chris Cooke, 12.0) · 7-94 (Timm van der Gugten, 12.3) · 8-156 (Mason Crane, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 29/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 35/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 44/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 50/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 62/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 72/3 |
| 9 | 1 | 73/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 78/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 83/5 |
| 12 | 9 | 92/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 95/7 |
| 14 | 10 | 105/7 |
| 15 | 13 | 118/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 122/7 |
| 17 | 12 | 134/7 |
| 18 | 10 | 144/7 |
| 19 | 12 | 156/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 162/8 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fazalhaq Farooqi: Afghanistan Cricket Board Official · CC BY 3.0
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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