South AfricaversusPakistan

19 Sept 2025 · ODI

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

South Africa won by 25 runs

South Africa46.0 overs292/3 Pakistan44.4 overs287/10 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

South Africa more likely to win

60%South Africa40%Pakistan

Why

On results in ODIs so far, South Africa rate stronger than Pakistan (1,537 vs 1,425 on our results rating)
Pakistan are playing at home in Pakistan
In the last 10 ODIs between these sides, South Africa won 8 and Pakistan won 1 (1 tied)

Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.