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United Arab Emirates tour of Nepal · 2026 · Men
21 Apr 2026 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 38%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 40% during the match (Nepal: 60% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kushal Bhurtelnot out12 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 84* | 57 | 12 | 2 | 147.37 |
 Kushal Mallacaught · Waseem Muhammad · Muhammad Arfan1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Muhammad Arfan | 19 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 111.76 |
| Santosh Yadavstumped · Adeeb Usmani · Nilansh Keswani 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Adeeb Usmani · b Nilansh Keswani | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Dipendra Singh Aireenot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 17 | 3 | 0 | 135.29 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajay Kumar (2)1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Khuzaima Tanveer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nilansh Keswani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 8.09 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Arfan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-67 (Kushal Malla, 7.3) · 2-71 (Santosh Yadav, 8.3)
Recorded target: 129 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 51/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 63/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 70/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 72/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 84/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 89/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 102/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 106/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 114/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 121/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 129/2 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Harpreet Singh: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
