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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
17 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 66%; United States of America batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YS Samracaught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · Harmeet Singh 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · b Harmeet Singh | 41 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 82.00 |
| Navneet Dhaliwalbowled · Nosthush Kenjige 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nosthush Kenjige | 9 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Pargat Singhbowled · Nosthush Kenjige 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nosthush Kenjige | 38 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 57.58 |
| Harsh Thakerbowled · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Shreyas Movvalbw · Harmeet Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Harmeet Singh | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 38.89 |
United States of America's chances ranged from 59% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 41%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 54* |
| 69 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 78.26 |
| Parveen Kumar (2)caught · Monank Patel · Sanjay Krishnamurthi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Monank Patel · b Sanjay Krishnamurthi | 23 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 71.88 |
|---|
 Saad Bin Zafarcaught · Shayan Jahangir · Sanjay Krishnamurthi1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shayan Jahangir · b Sanjay Krishnamurthi | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shivam Sharma (3)bowled · Milind Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Milind Kumar | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Dillon Heyligerbowled · Milind Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Milind Kumar | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Kaleem Sanabowled · Sanjay Krishnamurthi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sanjay Krishnamurthi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 3.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 4.10 | 1 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 4.44 | 1 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Harmeet Singh1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 38 | 2 | 3.80 | 0 | 1 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 5.3) · 2-80 (YS Samra, 18.4) · 3-81 (Harsh Thaker, 19.3) · 4-98 (Shreyas Movva, 24.2) · 5-104 (Pargat Singh, 28.0) · 6-174 (Parveen Kumar (2), 40.1) · 7-180 (Saad Bin Zafar, 42.2) · 8-183 (Shivam Sharma (3), 44.0) · 9-191 (Dillon Heyliger, 46.0) · 10-192 (Kaleem Sana, 46.2)
Recorded target: 362 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 33/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 44/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 50/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 54/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 57/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 65/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 66/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 67/1 |
| 17 | 8 | 75/1 |
| 18 | 4 | 79/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 81/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 82/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 83/3 |
| 22 | 9 | 92/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 94/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 98/3 |
| 25 | 0 | 98/4 |
| 26 | 2 | 100/4 |
| 27 | 2 | 102/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 104/5 |
| 29 | 7 | 111/5 |
| 30 | 2 | 113/5 |
| 31 | 2 | 115/5 |
| 32 | 6 | 121/5 |
| 33 | 7 | 128/5 |
| 34 | 1 | 129/5 |
| 35 | 7 | 136/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 139/5 |
| 37 | 7 | 146/5 |
| 38 | 6 | 152/5 |
| 39 | 8 | 160/5 |
| 40 | 14 | 174/5 |
| 41 | 4 | 178/6 |
| 42 | 2 | 180/6 |
| 43 | 1 | 181/7 |
| 44 | 2 | 183/8 |
| 45 | 4 | 187/8 |
| 46 | 4 | 191/9 |
| 47 | 1 | 192/10 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
