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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
31 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 72%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael van Lingenbowled · A Roy 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Roy | 23 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 82.14 |
 Malan Krugercaught · Zach Lion-Cachet · Roelof van der Merwe5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zach Lion-Cachet · b Roelof van der Merwe | 64 | 109 | 5 | 0 | 58.72 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · Max O'Dowd · Tim Pringle 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Max O'Dowd · b Tim Pringle | 68 | 75 | 6 | 1 | 90.67 |
| Louren Steenkampbowled · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Namibia: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Gerhard Erasmusnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 10 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Klein0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 39 | 1 | 3.90 | 2 | 0 |
 Tim Pringle0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 4.56 | 1 | 0 |
| A Roy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 6.20 | 1 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 3.43 | 0 | 0 |
1-43 (Michael van Lingen, 10.1) · 2-160 (Malan Kruger, 34.3) · 3-172 (Jan Frylinck, 37.5) · 4-172 (Louren Steenkamp, 38.3)
Recorded target: 184 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 29/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 34/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 43/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 44/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 49/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 55/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 56/1 |
| 16 | 7 | 63/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 69/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 75/1 |
| 19 | 1 | 76/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 79/1 |
| 21 | 7 | 86/1 |
| 22 | 6 | 92/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 94/1 |
| 24 | 4 | 98/1 |
| 25 | 5 | 103/1 |
| 26 | 3 | 106/1 |
| 27 | 6 | 112/1 |
| 28 | 7 | 119/1 |
| 29 | 5 | 124/1 |
| 30 | 9 | 133/1 |
| 31 | 2 | 135/1 |
| 32 | 9 | 144/1 |
| 33 | 5 | 149/1 |
| 34 | 9 | 158/1 |
| 35 | 3 | 161/2 |
| 36 | 3 | 164/2 |
| 37 | 4 | 168/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 172/3 |
| 39 | 0 | 172/4 |
| 40 | 7 | 179/4 |
| 41 | 7 | 186/4 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Pringle: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
