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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
11 Nov 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 52%; Oman batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikramjit Singhbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 16 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 42.11 |
| Max O'Dowdbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 53.85 |
| Noah Croescaught · AR Odedara · Aamir Kaleem 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AR Odedara · b Aamir Kaleem | 19 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 43.18 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · Bukkapatnam Siddharth · Aamir Kaleem0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bukkapatnam Siddharth · b Aamir Kaleem | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| Scott Edwardscaught · Jay Odedra · Aamir Kaleem 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jay Odedra |
Oman's chances ranged from 4% to 92% during the match (Netherlands: 9% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 17 |
| 26 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 65.38 |
 Bas de Leedecaught and bowled · Samay Shrivastava0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Samay Shrivastava | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Teja Nidamanurucaught · Jatinder Singh · Bukkapatnam Siddharth 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jatinder Singh · b Bukkapatnam Siddharth | 34 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 79.07 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Jatinder Singh · Aamir Kaleem1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jatinder Singh · b Aamir Kaleem | 17 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 39.53 |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwebowled · Bukkapatnam Siddharth0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bukkapatnam Siddharth | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Kyle Kleinnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 22 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| Aryan Duttcaught · Muzahir Raza · K Sonavale 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muzahir Raza · b K Sonavale | 6 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 31.58 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muzahir Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed5 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Bukkapatnam Siddharth1 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 2.56 | 8 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 2.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 53 | 1 | 6.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
| K Sonavale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Max O'Dowd, 5.3) · 2-33 (Vikramjit Singh, 11.3) · 3-43 (Colin Ackermann, 14.2) · 4-67 (Scott Edwards, 20.5) · 5-70 (Bas de Leede, 22.0) · 6-70 (Noah Croes, 22.2) · 7-122 (Timm van der Gugten, 35.3) · 8-127 (Roelof van der Merwe, 38.1) · 9-130 (Teja Nidamanuru, 38.5) · 10-154 (Aryan Dutt, 45.3)
Recorded target: 156 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 22/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 26/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 30/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 30/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 32/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 34/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 41/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 43/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 44/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 53/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 60/3 |
| 19 | 0 | 60/3 |
| 20 | 7 | 67/3 |
| 21 | 0 | 67/4 |
| 22 | 3 | 70/5 |
| 23 | 0 | 70/6 |
| 24 | 7 | 77/6 |
| 25 | 6 | 83/6 |
| 26 | 0 | 83/6 |
| 27 | 7 | 90/6 |
| 28 | 6 | 96/6 |
| 29 | 4 | 100/6 |
| 30 | 1 | 101/6 |
| 31 | 8 | 109/6 |
| 32 | 1 | 110/6 |
| 33 | 7 | 117/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 121/6 |
| 35 | 0 | 121/6 |
| 36 | 1 | 122/7 |
| 37 | 2 | 124/7 |
| 38 | 3 | 127/7 |
| 39 | 3 | 130/9 |
| 40 | 3 | 133/9 |
| 41 | 1 | 134/9 |
| 42 | 7 | 141/9 |
| 43 | 1 | 142/9 |
| 44 | 9 | 151/9 |
| 45 | 2 | 153/9 |
| 46 | 1 | 154/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
