SingaporeversusThailand

2 May 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Singapore won by 30 runs

Singapore19.3 overs110/10 Thailand19.1 overs80/10 Bayuemas Oval, Kuala Lumpur ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Singapore more likely to win

57%Singapore43%Thailand

Why

In the last 4 T20 internationals between these sides, Singapore won 3 and Thailand won 1
On results in T20 internationals so far, Singapore rate stronger than Thailand (1,381 vs 1,380 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Singapore started on 55%; Singapore batted first.

Singapore’s chance of winning (%) · Thailand is the rest

Singapore's chances ranged from 21% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 79%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 5.3: V Nagpaul to Y Saranonnakkun, Y Saranonnakkun out. Singapore up from 35% to 46%.
2nd inns 6.4: Kashif Khan to S Desungnoen, S Desungnoen out. Singapore up from 46% to 61%.
2nd inns 10.6: Kashif Khan to AP Yadav, AP Yadav out. Singapore up from 66% to 78%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Singapore110/10 Thailand80/10

Innings 2

Thailand

80/1019.1 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Thailand batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Akshaykumar Yadavbowled · Kashif Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Kashif Khan	15	28	0	0	53.57
Chaloemwong Chatphaisanbowled · V Nagpaul 2 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b V Nagpaul	12	14	2	0	85.71
Y Saranonnakkunbowled · V Nagpaul 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b V Nagpaul	0	2	0	0	0.00
S Desungnoenbowled · Kashif Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Kashif Khan	1	5	0	0	20.00
Austin Lazaruscaught · Daksh Tyagi · Harsh Venkataram 0 fours · 1 sixes	caught · Daksh Tyagi · b Harsh Venkataram	29	35	0	1	82.86

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Daksh Tyagi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	10	0	5.00	2	0
Aslan Jafri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	16	1	4.00	0	0
V Nagpaul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	13	2	3.25	0	0
Kashif Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	11	2	2.75	0	0
Harsh Venkataram0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls	3.1	13	3	4.11	2	1
Chandramauli Sridev0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	16	2	8.00	1	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	3	3/0
2	6	9/0
3	8	17/0
4	3	20/0
5	2	22/0
6	2	24/2
7	1	25/3
8	5	30/3
9	4	34/3
10	3	37/3
11	1	38/4
12	3	41/4
13	5	46/4
14	8	54/4
15	5	59/5
16	2	61/5
17	10	71/6
18	3	74/8
19	6	80/9
20	0	80/10

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