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Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
2 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Wellington started on 60%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Auckland: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 2 Jan 2026, Wellington played Auckland at Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland. Recorded result: Auckland won by 5 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.