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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
1 Jan 2025 · T20
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 46%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Northern Districts: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jesse Tashkoffcaught · FF Lellman · Kris Clarke1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · FF Lellman · b Kris Clarke | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Tom Blundellcaught · FF Lellman · Neil Wagner0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · FF Lellman · b Neil Wagner | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nick Kellybowled · Freddy Walker 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Freddy Walker | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Troy Johnsoncaught · Joe Carter · Neil Wagner 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Joe Carter · b Neil Wagner | 25 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 138.89 |
| bowled · b Freddy Walker |
| 7 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 77.78 |
 Gareth Severincaught · Jeet Raval · Kris Clarke3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jeet Raval · b Kris Clarke | 30 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 130.43 |
|---|
| Nick Greenwoodcaught · Neil Wagner · Brett Hampton 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Neil Wagner · b Brett Hampton | 48 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekbowled · Kris Clarke 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kris Clarke | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandnot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 23* | 12 | 2 | 2 | 191.67 |
|---|
| Ian McPeakenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Clarke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Neil Wagner0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddy Walker0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 2 | 1 |
1-4 (Jesse Tashkoff, 0.4) · 2-4 (Tom Blundell, 1.1) · 3-45 (Troy Johnson, 5.5) · 4-48 (Nick Kelly, 7.4) · 5-62 (Muhammad Abbas, 9.4) · 6-114 (Gareth Severin, 15.2) · 7-114 (Logan van Beek, 15.3) · 8-146 (Nick Greenwood, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 46/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 50/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 59/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 63/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 67/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 77/5 |
| 13 | 12 | 89/5 |
| 14 | 14 | 103/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 108/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 120/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 123/7 |
| 18 | 15 | 138/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 146/8 |
| 20 | 14 | 160/8 |
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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