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West Indies tour of India · 2026/27 · Men
14 Oct 2026 · T20
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 18%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 17% to 100% during the match (India: 0% to 83%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sanju Samsoncaught · Shimron Hetmyer · Keemo Paul6 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Shimron Hetmyer · b Keemo Paul | 56 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 243.48 |
| Abhishek Sharmacaught · Shamar Springer · Gudakesh Motie 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shamar Springer · b Gudakesh Motie | 29 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 120.83 |
 Ishan Kishancaught · J Andrew · Keemo Paul0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · J Andrew · b Keemo Paul | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
 Shreyas Iyercaught · J Andrew · Shamar Springer2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Andrew · b Shamar Springer |
| 16 |
| 11 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 145.45 |
 Tilak Varmacaught · Rovman Powell · Romario Shepherd2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Rovman Powell · b Romario Shepherd | 43 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 172.00 |
|---|
| Naman Dhirstumped · Shai Hope · Gudakesh Motie 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shai Hope · b Gudakesh Motie | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Nitish Kumar Reddycaught · Rovman Powell · Keemo Paul1 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Rovman Powell · b Keemo Paul | 41 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 205.00 |
|---|
 Axar Patelcaught · Sherfane Rutherford · Keemo Paul0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sherfane Rutherford · b Keemo Paul | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Prince Yadavbowled · Keemo Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Keemo Paul | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Arshdeep Singhretired hurt · Shamar Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 5* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Mayank Yadavnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 16 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 18.80 | 7 | 1 |
| Romario Shepherd0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 10.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Keemo Paul0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 5 | 10.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Shamar Springer0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Gudakesh Motie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-60 (Sanju Samson, 4.1) · 2-67 (Ishan Kishan, 4.4) · 3-97 (Shreyas Iyer, 8.2) · 4-130 (Abhishek Sharma, 11.3) · 5-130 (Naman Dhir, 11.4) · 6-200 (Tilak Varma, 17.0) · 7-212 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 18.2) · 8-212 (Prince Yadav, 18.3) · 9-213 (Axar Patel, 18.5)
Recorded target: 248 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 18 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 25 | 50/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 60/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 69/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 80/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 84/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 95/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 108/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 115/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 126/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 132/5 |
| 13 | 13 | 145/5 |
| 14 | 11 | 156/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 168/5 |
| 16 | 21 | 189/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 200/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 205/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 213/9 |
| 20 | 10 | 223/9 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Ishan Kishan: Tata Ipl 2022 · CC BY 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Shimron Hetmyer: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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