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Malaysia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
24 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 57%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 3% to 96% during the match (Kuwait: 4% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Coetzeecaught · Shiraz Khan · Mohamed Shafeeq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shiraz Khan · b Mohamed Shafeeq | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Anshuman Rathrun out · Usman Patel, Yasin Patel · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Usman Patel, Yasin Patel | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Nizakat Khancaught · Meet Bhavsar · Yasin Patel 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Meet Bhavsar · b Yasin Patel | 61 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 152.50 |
| Babar Hayatcaught and bowled · Shiraz Khan 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Shiraz Khan | 27 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 122.73 |
| Aizaz Khancaught · Clinto Anto · Mohamed Shafeeq 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clinto Anto · b Mohamed Shafeeq | 25 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 89.29 |
| Zeeshan Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Yasim Murtazacaught · Clinto Anto · Shiraz Khan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Clinto Anto · b Shiraz Khan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Shiraz Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Anshuman Rath, 1.5) · 2-7 (Martin Coetzee, 2.3) · 3-46 (Babar Hayat, 7.1) · 4-118 (Nizakat Khan, 16.3) · 5-121 (Aizaz Khan, 17.2) · 6-137 (Yasim Murtaza, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 14/2 |
| 5 | 15 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 38/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 61/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 72/3 |
| 13 | 15 | 87/3 |
| 14 | 17 | 104/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 109/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 116/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 121/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 125/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 139/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 144/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.