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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
9 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Jersey started on 60%; Jersey batted first.
Jersey's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Switzerland: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faheem Nazircaught · Julius Sumerauer · Daniel Birrell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Julius Sumerauer · b Daniel Birrell | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Idrees Ul Haquecaught · Harrison Carlyon · Nick Greenwood 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harrison Carlyon · b Nick Greenwood | 19 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 82.61 |
| Arjun Vinodbowled · Julius Sumerauer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Julius Sumerauer | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Ahmed Hassancaught · Jake Dunford · Daniel Birrell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jake Dunford · b Daniel Birrell | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Abdullah Ranabowled · Benjamin Ward 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Benjamin Ward | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Jai Sinhcaught · Harrison Carlyon · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Harrison Carlyon · b Benjamin Ward |
| 4 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 30.77 |
| M Stanikzailbw · Nick Greenwood 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nick Greenwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Ali Nayyerstumped · Jake Dunford · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jake Dunford · b Benjamin Ward | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| NK Aneesh Kumarcaught · Zak Tribe · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Tribe · b Benjamin Ward | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Bashir Ahmadcaught · Jonty Jenner · Nick Greenwood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jonty Jenner · b Nick Greenwood | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| K Fletchernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Birrell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Julius Sumerauer0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Charles Perchard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Ward1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Greenwood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Faheem Nazir, 0.4) · 2-4 (Arjun Vinod, 1.2) · 3-13 (Ahmed Hassan, 3.0) · 4-35 (Abdullah Rana, 6.4) · 5-37 (Idrees Ul Haque, 8.0) · 6-41 (M Stanikzai, 9.2) · 7-46 (Ali Nayyer, 10.1) · 8-46 (NK Aneesh Kumar, 10.3) · 9-51 (Bashir Ahmad, 11.1) · 10-52 (Jai Sinh, 12.1)
Recorded target: 220 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 6 | 13/3 |
| 4 | 5 | 18/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 24/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 34/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 35/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 37/5 |
| 9 | 0 | 37/5 |
| 10 | 9 | 46/6 |
| 11 | 5 | 51/8 |
| 12 | 1 | 52/9 |
| 13 | 0 | 52/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.