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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 55%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Worcestershire: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Mohammedcaught · Jonny Bairstow · William O’Rourke 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jonny Bairstow · b William O’Rourke | 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 212.50 |
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Dominic Bess · William O’Rourke 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b William O’Rourke | 53 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 147.22 |
 Kashif Alicaught · Will Sutherland · William O’Rourke0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b William O’Rourke | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Adam Hosecaught · William O’Rourke · Matt Milnes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William O’Rourke · b Matt Milnes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Ethan Brookeslbw · JA Chohan 4 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b JA Chohan |
| 38 |
| 23 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 165.22 |
 Gareth Roderickcaught · Jordan Thompson · Matt Milnes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Thompson · b Matt Milnes | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 68.75 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuisnot out 3 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 42* | 17 | 3 | 3 | 247.06 |
|---|
 Matthew Waitecaught · James Wharton · William O’Rourke0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Wharton · b William O’Rourke | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tom Taylorcaught · Dawid Malan · William O’Rourke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dawid Malan · b William O’Rourke | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ben Allisoncaught · Matt Milnes · Jordan Thompson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Milnes · b Jordan Thompson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Fateh Singhcaught · Dominic Bess · Will Sutherland1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b Will Sutherland | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Milnes1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 2 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 15.79 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Jordan Thompson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Dominic Bess0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Isaac Mohammed, 2.1) · 2-24 (Kashif Ali, 2.2) · 3-37 (Adam Hose, 3.5) · 4-120 (Ethan Brookes, 11.3) · 5-132 (Brett D'Oliveira, 12.5) · 6-175 (Gareth Roderick, 16.5) · 7-178 (Matthew Waite, 17.3) · 8-178 (Tom Taylor, 17.4) · 9-179 (Ben Allison, 18.2) · 10-192 (Fateh Singh, 19.1)
Recorded target: 234 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 31/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 37/3 |
| 5 | 13 | 50/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 57/3 |
| 7 | 13 | 70/3 |
| 8 | 10 | 80/3 |
| 9 | 17 | 97/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 106/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 119/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 127/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 133/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 143/5 |
| 15 | 21 | 164/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 175/5 |
| 17 | 0 | 175/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 179/8 |
| 19 | 13 | 192/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 192/10 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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