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Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
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Indian Premier League · 2025 · Men
27 Apr 2025 · T20
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
Mumbai Indians started on 44%; Mumbai Indians batted first.
Mumbai Indians's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Lucknow Super Giants: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · Tilak Varma · Trent Boult3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tilak Varma · b Trent Boult | 34 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 141.67 |
 Aiden Markramcaught · Naman Dhir · Jasprit Bumrah2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Naman Dhir · b Jasprit Bumrah | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Nicolas Poorancaught · Suryakumar Yadav · Will Jacks 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Suryakumar Yadav · b Will Jacks | 27 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 180.00 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Karn Sharma · Will Jacks1 fours · 0 sixes |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Ayush Badonicaught · Will Jacks · Trent Boult 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Will Jacks · b Trent Boult | 35 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 159.09 |
|---|
 David Millercaught · Corbin Bosch · Jasprit Bumrah3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Corbin Bosch · b Jasprit Bumrah | 24 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Abdul Samadbowled · Jasprit Bumrah0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ravi Bishnoibowled · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 13 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 92.86 |
|---|
| Avesh Khanbowled · Jasprit Bumrah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prince Yadavnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| DS Rathibowled · Trent Boult 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Trent Boult | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trent Boult0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Deepak Chahar0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 1 | 1 |
 Jasprit Bumrah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Karn Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Hardik Pandya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Corbin Bosch0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
1-18 (Aiden Markram, 2.4) · 2-60 (Nicolas Pooran, 6.1) · 3-64 (Rishabh Pant, 6.3) · 4-110 (Mitchell Marsh, 11.2) · 5-135 (Ayush Badoni, 14.2) · 6-141 (David Miller, 15.2) · 7-142 (Abdul Samad, 15.5) · 8-142 (Avesh Khan, 16.0) · 9-157 (Ravi Bishnoi, 18.5) · 10-161 (DS Rathi, 20.0)
Recorded target: 216 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 20 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 67/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 73/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 83/3 |
| 10 | 20 | 103/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 109/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 112/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 123/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 134/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 140/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 142/8 |
| 17 | 6 | 148/8 |
| 18 | 7 | 155/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 158/9 |
| 20 | 3 | 161/10 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Karn Sharma: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deepak Chahar: G. D. GOENKA SCHOOL, AGRA · CC BY 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Abdul Samad: SunrisersIPL · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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