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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
9 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Portugal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Portugal started on 66%; Portugal batted first.
Portugal's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Hungary: 1% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Ravindrancaught · Amir Zaib · Sirajullah Khadim 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amir Zaib · b Sirajullah Khadim | 57 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 123.91 |
| Abbas Ghanicaught · Najjam Shahzad · JAM Henri 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najjam Shahzad · b JAM Henri | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| HV Mandhyancaught · Imran Khan (4) · J Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Khan (4) · b J Khan | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Sheikh Rasikcaught · Najjam Shahzad · Sirajullah Khadim 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najjam Shahzad · b Sirajullah Khadim | 26 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 108.33 |
| Ali Yalmazstumped · Suman Ghimire · Najjam Shahzad 1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Suman Ghimire · b Najjam Shahzad | 19 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 105.56 |
| Amal Jacobnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 18 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Danyal Akbarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAM Henri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Najjam Shahzad0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 1 |
| J Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| F Stoman0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sirajullah Khadim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Amir Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Abbas Ghani, 2.2) · 2-23 (HV Mandhyan, 4.0) · 3-81 (Sheikh Rasik, 11.4) · 4-97 (V Ravindran, 15.1) · 5-118 (Ali Yalmaz, 18.0)
Recorded target: 148 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 56/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 62/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 71/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 79/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 81/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 88/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 91/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 97/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 106/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 113/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 118/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 123/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 132/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.