Jamaica KingsmenversusAntigua and Barbuda Falcons

7 Aug 2026 · T20

Arnos Vale Ground, Kingstown · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won by 2 wickets

Jamaica Kingsmen20.0 overs167/7 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons20.0 overs168/8 Arnos Vale Ground, Kingstown ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Jamaica Kingsmen started on 53%; Jamaica Kingsmen batted first.

Jamaica Kingsmen’s chance of winning (%) · Antigua and Barbuda Falcons is the rest

Jamaica Kingsmen's chances ranged from 4% to 70% during the match (Antigua and Barbuda Falcons: 30% to 96%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.6: KMA Paul to Tajinder Singh, 2 runs to Tajinder Singh. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 75% to 92%.
2nd inns 19.4: Hunain Shah to Usama Mir, Usama Mir out. Jamaica Kingsmen up from 20% to 38%.
2nd inns 19.6: Hunain Shah to SK Springer, 2 runs to SK Springer. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 63% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Jamaica Kingsmen167/7 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons168/8

Innings 1