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Central American Cricket Championships · 2024 · Men
14 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Mexico more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mexico started on 62%; Mexico batted first.
Mexico's chances ranged from 16% to 100% during the match (Costa Rica: 0% to 84%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Singhdeobowled · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pratik Singh Bais | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| D Rawatbowled · R Ankad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Ankad | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| S Muraricaught · Praveen Santhanakrishnan · Shoaib Rafiq 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Praveen Santhanakrishnan · b Shoaib Rafiq | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
| G Muralibowled · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pratik Singh Bais | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Sharina Ravikumarbowled · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pratik Singh Bais | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
| bowled · b Pratik Singh Bais |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| S Pillaibowled · Pratik Singh Bais 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pratik Singh Bais | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| RR Sauncaught and bowled · Shashikant Laxman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Shashikant Laxman | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| PV Naringrekarrun out · S Elayaperumal · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Elayaperumal | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Dhanush Ganeshbowled · Pratik Singh Bais 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pratik Singh Bais | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Imran Ahmed Kaneeznot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratik Singh Bais0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 3.50 | 5 | 0 |
| R Ankad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Rafiq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Shashikant Laxman0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 3.69 | 2 | 0 |
1-1 (G Singhdeo, 0.2) · 2-12 (D Rawat, 1.4) · 3-14 (S Murari, 2.1) · 4-23 (Sharina Ravikumar, 6.5) · 5-23 (YJC Altamirano, 7.0) · 6-29 (S Pillai, 8.4) · 7-35 (G Murali, 10.1) · 8-35 (PV Naringrekar, 10.3) · 9-35 (Dhanush Ganesh, 10.4) · 10-35 (RR Saun, 11.1)
Recorded target: 94 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 15/3 |
| 4 | 3 | 18/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 22/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 23/5 |
| 8 | 5 | 28/5 |
| 9 | 2 | 30/6 |
| 10 | 3 | 33/6 |
| 11 | 2 | 35/9 |
| 12 | 0 | 35/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.