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West Indies Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
27 Dec 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 16%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 0% to 16% during the match (India: 85% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Ashmini Munisar · Aaliyah Alleyne1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashmini Munisar · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 4 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 21.05 |
| Pratika Rawalcaught · Karishma Ramharack · Hayley Matthews 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karishma Ramharack · b Hayley Matthews | 18 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 78.26 |
| Harleen Deolcaught · Shemaine Campbelle · Deandra Dottin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shemaine Campbelle · b Deandra Dottin | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Harmanpreet Kaurbowled · Afy Fletcher7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Afy Fletcher | 32 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 145.45 |
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Deandra Dottin · b Karishma Ramharack |
| 29 |
| 45 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 64.44 |
 Deepti Sharmanot out3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 39* | 48 | 3 | 1 | 81.25 |
|---|
 Richa Ghoshnot out1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 23* | 11 | 1 | 3 | 209.09 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 19 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deandra Dottin2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 5.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 7 | 1 |
 Hayley Matthews1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 3.44 | 0 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.2 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 9.69 | 5 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 5.80 | 5 | 0 |
| Ashmini Munisar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-22 (Smriti Mandhana, 5.3) · 2-23 (Harleen Deol, 6.1) · 3-55 (Pratika Rawal, 9.4) · 4-73 (Harmanpreet Kaur, 13.0) · 5-129 (Jemimah Rodrigues, 24.4)
Recorded target: 163 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 33/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 42/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 55/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 73/4 |
| 14 | 1 | 74/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 81/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 96/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 98/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 105/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 110/4 |
| 21 | 6 | 116/4 |
| 22 | 3 | 119/4 |
| 23 | 5 | 124/4 |
| 24 | 4 | 128/4 |
| 25 | 1 | 129/5 |
| 26 | 7 | 136/5 |
| 27 | 10 | 146/5 |
| 28 | 9 | 155/5 |
| 29 | 12 | 167/5 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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