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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
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Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
8 Jan 2025 · ODI
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Mitchell Santner · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Jacob Duffy | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Avishka Fernandocaught · Glenn Phillips · Matt Henry 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 10 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Tom Latham · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Jacob Duffy | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Daryl Mitchell · William O’Rourke 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b William O’Rourke | 64 | 66 | 5 | 3 | 96.97 |
| Charith Asalankarun out · Mitchell Santner · Matt Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mitchell Santner | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 133.33 |
 Janith Liyanagecaught · Tom Latham · Nathan Smith2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Nathan Smith | 22 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 70.97 |
|---|
| Chamindu Wickramasingherun out · Tom Latham, Mitchell Santner, Nathan Smith · Nathan Smith 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tom Latham, Mitchell Santner, Nathan Smith | 17 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 62.96 |
|---|
 Wanindu Hasarangabowled · Mitchell Santner0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Mahesh Theekshanacaught · Daryl Mitchell · William O’Rourke 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b William O’Rourke | 6 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| Eshan Malingacaught · Nathan Smith · William O’Rourke 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b William O’Rourke | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry1 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 3.80 | 6 | 0 |
 Jacob Duffy1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 30 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.2 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 4.89 | 4 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 4.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 2.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Mitchell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Pathum Nissanka, 1.2) · 2-18 (Kusal Mendis, 4.0) · 3-18 (Avishka Fernando, 4.1) · 4-22 (Charith Asalanka, 4.4) · 5-79 (Janith Liyanage, 16.0) · 6-126 (Chamindu Wickramasinghe, 24.4) · 7-129 (Wanindu Hasaranga, 25.3) · 8-131 (Kamindu Mendis, 28.1) · 9-136 (Eshan Malinga, 29.0) · 10-142 (Mahesh Theekshana, 30.2)
Recorded target: 256 runs in 37 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 22/4 |
| 6 | 0 | 22/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 29/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 31/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 33/4 |
| 10 | 16 | 49/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 56/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 60/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 61/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 66/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 70/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 79/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 87/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 92/5 |
| 19 | 2 | 94/5 |
| 20 | 5 | 99/5 |
| 21 | 4 | 103/5 |
| 22 | 2 | 105/5 |
| 23 | 1 | 106/5 |
| 24 | 11 | 117/5 |
| 25 | 11 | 128/6 |
| 26 | 2 | 130/7 |
| 27 | 0 | 130/7 |
| 28 | 1 | 131/7 |
| 29 | 5 | 136/9 |
| 30 | 1 | 137/9 |
| 31 | 5 | 142/10 |
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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