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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
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Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
8 Jan 2025 · ODI
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Youngbowled · Asitha Fernando2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asitha Fernando | 16 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 88.89 |
 Rachin Ravindracaught · Charith Asalanka · Wanindu Hasaranga9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Charith Asalanka · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 79 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 125.40 |
| Mark Chapmancaught · MNK Fernando · Mahesh Theekshana 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · MNK Fernando · b Mahesh Theekshana | 62 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 119.23 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Asitha Fernando · Eshan Malinga 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asitha Fernando · b Eshan Malinga | 38 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 100.00 |
| run out · Kusal Mendis, Eshan Malinga |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Chamindu Wickramasinghe · Wanindu Hasaranga 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chamindu Wickramasinghe · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 22 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnercaught · Chamindu Wickramasinghe · Mahesh Theekshana 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chamindu Wickramasinghe · b Mahesh Theekshana | 20 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithcaught · Kamindu Mendis · Mahesh Theekshana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamindu Mendis · b Mahesh Theekshana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Matt Henrycaught · MNK Fernando · Mahesh Theekshana0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MNK Fernando · b Mahesh Theekshana | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
 William O’Rourkenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 7.71 | 1 | 0 |
| Mahesh Theekshana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Eshan Malinga0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 7.71 | 1 | 0 |
| Charith Asalanka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Wanindu Hasaranga0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 4.88 | 0 | 0 |
 Janith Liyanage0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Chamindu Wickramasinghe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Will Young, 4.5) · 2-143 (Mark Chapman, 20.0) · 3-168 (Rachin Ravindra, 23.0) · 4-170 (Tom Latham, 23.2) · 5-217 (Glenn Phillips, 30.3) · 6-247 (Mitchell Santner, 34.5) · 7-247 (Nathan Smith, 35.0) · 8-251 (Daryl Mitchell, 36.0) · 9-251 (Matt Henry, 36.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 62/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 71/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 75/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 78/1 |
| 13 | 11 | 89/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 96/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 99/1 |
| 16 | 11 | 110/1 |
| 17 | 8 | 118/1 |
| 18 | 13 | 131/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 137/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 143/2 |
| 21 | 11 | 154/2 |
| 22 | 10 | 164/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 168/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 172/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 176/4 |
| 26 | 9 | 185/4 |
| 27 | 7 | 192/4 |
| 28 | 7 | 199/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 203/4 |
| 30 | 8 | 211/4 |
| 31 | 7 | 218/5 |
| 32 | 4 | 222/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 224/5 |
| 34 | 16 | 240/5 |
| 35 | 7 | 247/7 |
| 36 | 4 | 251/8 |
| 37 | 4 | 255/9 |
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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