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Sri Lanka Women tour of West Indies · 2025/26 · Women
22 Feb 2026 · ODI
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, Grenada · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sri Lanka started on 42%; Sri Lanka batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasini Pereracaught · Deandra Dottin · Hayley Matthews2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Deandra Dottin · b Hayley Matthews | 14 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 48.28 |
 Chamari Atapattucaught · Shemaine Campbelle · Karishma Ramharack6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shemaine Campbelle · b Karishma Ramharack | 32 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 78.05 |
 Harshitha Madavibowled · Afy Fletcher2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Afy Fletcher | 35 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 54.69 |
| Vishmi Gunaratnecaught · Chinelle Henry · Karishma Ramharack 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught |
Sri Lanka's chances ranged from 19% to 94% during the match (West Indies: 6% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 58 |
| 66 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 87.88 |
 Kavisha Dilharicaught · Shemaine Campbelle · Aaliyah Alleyne0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shemaine Campbelle · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
 Nilakshi de Silvabowled · Hayley Matthews2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Hayley Matthews | 29 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 131.82 |
|---|
| Kaushini Nuthyanganarun out · Afy Fletcher · Hayley Matthews 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Afy Fletcher | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| Dewmi Vihangalbw · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Afy Fletcher | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
 Sugandika Kumarinot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 22 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Malki Madararun out · Chinelle Henry, Karishma Ramharack · Karishma Ramharack 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chinelle Henry, Karishma Ramharack | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Inoka Ranaweerabowled · Karishma Ramharack 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karishma Ramharack | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawnisha Hector0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
 Chinelle Henry0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 44 | 2 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.1 | 1 | 26 | 3 | 2.84 | 3 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Qiana Joseph0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 4.14 | 1 | 0 |
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-39 (Hasini Perera, 8.4) · 2-65 (Chamari Atapattu, 17.1) · 3-107 (Harshitha Madavi, 26.2) · 4-126 (Kavisha Dilhari, 29.5) · 5-166 (Nilakshi de Silva, 35.4) · 6-172 (Kaushini Nuthyangana, 37.1) · 7-184 (Dewmi Vihanga, 40.2) · 8-197 (Vishmi Gunaratne, 43.5) · 9-201 (Malki Madara, 45.1) · 10-208 (Inoka Ranaweera, 47.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 32/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 32/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 37/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 44/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 54/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 54/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 60/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 63/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 65/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 67/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 74/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 76/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 80/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 83/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 88/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 92/2 |
| 25 | 6 | 98/2 |
| 26 | 9 | 107/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 109/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 112/3 |
| 29 | 9 | 121/3 |
| 30 | 6 | 127/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 131/4 |
| 32 | 3 | 134/4 |
| 33 | 11 | 145/4 |
| 34 | 9 | 154/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 158/4 |
| 36 | 13 | 171/5 |
| 37 | 1 | 172/5 |
| 38 | 5 | 177/6 |
| 39 | 1 | 178/6 |
| 40 | 6 | 184/6 |
| 41 | 1 | 185/7 |
| 42 | 5 | 190/7 |
| 43 | 5 | 195/7 |
| 44 | 4 | 199/8 |
| 45 | 2 | 201/8 |
| 46 | 5 | 206/9 |
| 47 | 2 | 208/9 |
| 48 | 0 | 208/10 |
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Sugandika Kumari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harshitha Madavi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kavisha Dilhari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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