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Kartini Cup · 2025 · Women
11 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Cook Islands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cook Islands started on 64%; Cook Islands batted first.
Cook Islands's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Philippines: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABY Smithcaught · T Elikana · ET Williams 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Elikana · b ET Williams | 28 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 71.79 |
| JKD Andreanocaught · Gabby Sullivan · RV Auora 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gabby Sullivan · b RV Auora | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 43.75 |
| AR Valdezrun out · RV Auora · RV Auora 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · RV Auora | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 142.86 |
| KK Donovancaught · ZP Ikiua · RV Auora 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · ZP Ikiua · b RV Auora | 18 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| R Castillocaught · R Bowers-Fleming · T Elikana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Bowers-Fleming · b T Elikana | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
| caught · T Elikana · b Gabby Sullivan |
| 5 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 38.46 |
| Angela Busarun out · A Katoa · Gabby Sullivan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Katoa | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kyte Gullem Keenstumped · S Vaia · Gabby Sullivan 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · S Vaia · b Gabby Sullivan | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Ma Luz Barcelonabowled · Gabby Sullivan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gabby Sullivan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| JR Medianestanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Sullivan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1.75 | 1 | 0 |
| S Samuels0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| RV Auora0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 3 | 1 |
| T Elikana0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.26 | 2 | 0 |
| TC Mataora0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| ZP Ikiua0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| ET Williams0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-14 (JKD Andreano, 4.2) · 2-27 (AR Valdez, 6.2) · 3-65 (ABY Smith, 12.5) · 4-65 (KK Donovan, 13.3) · 5-80 (AS Miranda, 16.2) · 6-80 (Angela Busa, 16.5) · 7-86 (Kyte Gullem Keen, 18.2) · 8-86 (Ma Luz Barcelona, 18.5) · 9-87 (R Castillo, 19.1)
Absent hurt: Karri Gullem Keen
Recorded target: 126 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 27/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 29/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 38/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 43/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 56/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 62/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 67/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 73/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 79/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 81/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 85/6 |
| 19 | 1 | 86/8 |
| 20 | 1 | 87/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.