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Sweden tour of Indonesia · 2026 · Men
11 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 70%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Zuwakcaught · Dharma Kesuma · Gaurav Tiwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dharma Kesuma · b Gaurav Tiwari | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Awais Ahmadbowled · Gaurav Tiwari 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Gaurav Tiwari | 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 180.00 |
| Zaid Ahmadcaught · Ketut Artawan · Gaurav Tiwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ketut Artawan · b Gaurav Tiwari | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| YS Chauhancaught · Gede Arta · Kadek Gamantika 3 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Gede Arta · b Kadek Gamantika | 52 | 32 | 3 | 5 | 162.50 |
| W Boshoffnot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 51* | 42 | 2 | 2 | 121.43 |
| caught · Gede Arta · b Ketut Artawan |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| DB Lakhanicaught · Dharma Kesuma · Ketut Artawan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dharma Kesuma · b Ketut Artawan | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| A Dhabenot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 31* | 24 | 1 | 2 | 129.17 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Wiguna0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gaurav Tiwari0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Gede Arta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ida Bagus Nara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 13.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Awais Ahmad, 2.0) · 2-26 (Zaid Ahmad, 3.1) · 3-27 (Imal Zuwak, 3.3) · 4-102 (YS Chauhan, 12.0) · 5-103 (Saeed Ahmed (2), 12.2) · 6-105 (DB Lakhani, 13.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 20/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 27/3 |
| 5 | 10 | 37/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 43/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 52/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 54/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 63/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 75/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 81/3 |
| 12 | 21 | 102/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 105/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 109/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 117/6 |
| 16 | 13 | 130/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 136/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 148/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 161/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 170/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.