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Zimbabwe tour of Ireland · 2024 · Men
25 Jul 2024 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Moorcaught · Joylord Gumbie · Richard Ngarava 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joylord Gumbie · b Richard Ngarava | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Andrew Balbirniecaught · Prince Masvaure · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Prince Masvaure · b Blessing Muzarabani | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Curtis Camphercaught · Brian Bennett · Richard Ngarava 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Richard Ngarava | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Harry Tectorcaught · Clive Madande · Richard Ngarava0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Clive Madande · b Richard Ngarava |
| 0 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Paul Stirlingcaught · Clive Madande · Richard Ngarava1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clive Madande · b Richard Ngarava | 10 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Lorcan Tuckerbowled · Blessing Muzarabani 10 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Blessing Muzarabani | 56 | 64 | 10 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
 Andrew McBrinenot out5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 55* | 82 | 5 | 0 | 67.07 |
|---|
| Mark Adairnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 38 | 4 | 0 | 63.16 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani2 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 13.0 | 2 | 52 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Richard Ngarava1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 1 | 53 | 4 | 4.82 | 0 | 0 |
| Tendai Chatara1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Williams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 4.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Victor Nyauchi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Peter Moor, 1.2) · 2-6 (Curtis Campher, 1.3) · 3-6 (Andrew Balbirnie, 2.2) · 4-16 (Harry Tector, 5.1) · 5-21 (Paul Stirling, 5.5) · 6-117 (Lorcan Tucker, 25.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 6/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 7/3 |
| 4 | 7 | 14/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 16/3 |
| 6 | 5 | 21/5 |
| 7 | 8 | 29/5 |
| 8 | 4 | 33/5 |
| 9 | 4 | 37/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 41/5 |
| 11 | 0 | 41/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 45/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 52/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 61/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 69/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 73/5 |
| 17 | 0 | 73/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 83/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 86/5 |
| 20 | 2 | 88/5 |
| 21 | 6 | 94/5 |
| 22 | 6 | 100/5 |
| 23 | 7 | 107/5 |
| 24 | 5 | 112/5 |
| 25 | 1 | 113/5 |
| 26 | 4 | 117/6 |
| 27 | 1 | 118/6 |
| 28 | 7 | 125/6 |
| 29 | 3 | 128/6 |
| 30 | 3 | 131/6 |
| 31 | 2 | 133/6 |
| 32 | 0 | 133/6 |
| 33 | 7 | 140/6 |
| 34 | 7 | 147/6 |
| 35 | 4 | 151/6 |
| 36 | 3 | 154/6 |
| 37 | 4 | 158/6 |
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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