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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
West Indies Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Women
24 Sept 2026 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 51%; West Indies batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwabowled · Aaliyah Alleyne 7 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 86 | 106 | 7 | 1 | 81.13 |
| Sharne Mayerscaught · Realeanna Grimmond · Jannillea Glasgow 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Realeanna Grimmond · b Jannillea Glasgow | 21 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 91.30 |
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught · Chinelle Henry · Ashmini Munisar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chinelle Henry · b Ashmini Munisar | 15 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 88.24 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Ashmini Munisar · Afy Fletcher 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashmini Munisar · b Afy Fletcher | 26 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 70.27 |
| B Bizacaught · Stafanie Taylor · Afy Fletcher 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Stafanie Taylor · b Afy Fletcher | 11 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
West Indies's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 47.83 |
| Josephine Nkomorun out · Stafanie Taylor · Ashmini Munisar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Stafanie Taylor | 10 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Nyasha Gwanzuracaught · Chinelle Henry · Ashmini Munisar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chinelle Henry · b Ashmini Munisar | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| M Mavungalbw · Aaliyah Alleyne 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| O Charebowled · Aaliyah Alleyne 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Francisca Chiparelbw · Jannillea Glasgow 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jannillea Glasgow | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| T Makushanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannillea Glasgow1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 37 | 2 | 4.63 | 4 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.3 | 0 | 44 | 3 | 6.77 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashmini Munisar0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 3.38 | 6 | 0 |
| Jahzara Claxton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 3.43 | 0 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 4.43 | 4 | 0 |
 Stafanie Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Sharne Mayers, 6.1) · 2-51 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 10.0) · 3-100 (Chipo Mugeri, 21.5) · 4-118 (B Biza, 27.3) · 5-152 (Josephine Nkomo, 34.0) · 6-158 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 35.5) · 7-166 (M Mavunga, 37.2) · 8-175 (O Chare, 40.0) · 9-181 (Francisca Chipare, 41.0) · 10-200 (Modester Mupachikwa, 43.3)
Recorded target: 300 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 34/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 40/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 47/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 58/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 59/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 67/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 70/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 76/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 79/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 80/2 |
| 18 | 3 | 83/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 85/2 |
| 20 | 8 | 93/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 98/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 100/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 101/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 105/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 109/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 112/3 |
| 27 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 118/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 121/4 |
| 30 | 6 | 127/4 |
| 31 | 5 | 132/4 |
| 32 | 7 | 139/4 |
| 33 | 4 | 143/4 |
| 34 | 9 | 152/5 |
| 35 | 3 | 155/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 158/6 |
| 37 | 7 | 165/6 |
| 38 | 3 | 168/7 |
| 39 | 4 | 172/7 |
| 40 | 3 | 175/8 |
| 41 | 6 | 181/9 |
| 42 | 9 | 190/9 |
| 43 | 6 | 196/9 |
| 44 | 4 | 200/10 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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