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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
23 Dec 2024 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 56%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 1% to 57% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 43% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Browncaught · Ashton Turner · Andrew Tye 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Andrew Tye | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Jake Fraser-McGurkcaught · Andrew Tye · Jason Behrendorff 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Jason Behrendorff | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Tim Seifertcaught · Josh Inglis · Matthew Kelly 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b Matthew Kelly | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Jacob Bethellbowled · Ashton Agar 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Ashton Agar | 30 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 136.36 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Jason Behrendorff · Cooper Connolly 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jason Behrendorff · b Cooper Connolly | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 1 |
| 133.33 |
| Mackenzie Harveybowled · Ashton Turner 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ashton Turner | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
 Will Sutherlandnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 20 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersrun out · Matthew Kelly · Ashton Agar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Matthew Kelly | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Fergus O'Neillcaught · Ashton Turner · Jason Behrendorff 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Jason Behrendorff | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Adam Zampanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Behrendorff0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Kelly0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Andrew Tye0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Matthew Spoors0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 3 | 0 |
 Ashton Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Jake Fraser-McGurk, 1.0) · 2-42 (Tim Seifert, 3.4) · 3-42 (Josh Brown, 4.2) · 4-96 (Jacob Bethell, 9.4) · 5-103 (Laurie Evans, 11.0) · 6-113 (Mackenzie Harvey, 13.3) · 7-128 (Tom Rogers, 16.0) · 8-140 (Fergus O'Neill, 18.3)
Recorded target: 144 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 34/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 42/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 51/3 |
| 6 | 15 | 66/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 72/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 77/3 |
| 9 | 15 | 92/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 98/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 103/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 105/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 111/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 115/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 121/6 |
| 16 | 7 | 128/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 131/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 138/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 144/8 |
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Behrendorff: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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