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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
23 Dec 2024 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 56%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 1% to 57% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 43% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Allencaught · Tom Rogers · Fergus O'Neill 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b Fergus O'Neill | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Keaton Jenningsrun out · Mackenzie Harvey · Will Sutherland 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mackenzie Harvey | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Cooper Connollycaught · Mackenzie Harvey · Adam Zampa 1 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Harvey · b Adam Zampa | 66 | 50 | 1 | 6 | 132.00 |
 Josh Ingliscaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · Will Sutherland0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b Will Sutherland | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 |
| bowled · b Tom Rogers |
| 8 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Matthew Spoorscaught · Mackenzie Harvey · Kane Richardson 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Harvey · b Kane Richardson | 29 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 111.54 |
|---|
| Nick Hobsoncaught · Will Sutherland · Tom Rogers 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b Tom Rogers | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
 Ashton Agarcaught · Laurie Evans · Tom Rogers0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Tom Rogers | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Kellynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Andrew Tyenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus O'Neill1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Kane Richardson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Finn Allen, 0.3) · 2-15 (Keaton Jennings, 4.5) · 3-27 (Josh Inglis, 6.4) · 4-35 (Ashton Turner, 8.1) · 5-84 (Matthew Spoors, 15.1) · 6-126 (Nick Hobson, 18.1) · 7-130 (Ashton Agar, 19.0) · 8-136 (Cooper Connolly, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 16/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 25/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 28/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 35/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 40/4 |
| 10 | 8 | 48/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 56/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 58/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 68/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 78/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 84/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 93/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 106/5 |
| 18 | 20 | 126/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 130/7 |
| 20 | 13 | 143/8 |
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Behrendorff: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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