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Uganda Women tour of Namibia · 2025 · Women
11 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Uganda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 22%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Uganda: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Awinonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 28* | 51 | 0 | 0 | 54.90 |
| E Ilokucaught and bowled · S Tuhadeleni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b S Tuhadeleni | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyistumped · M Gorases · Eveleen Kejarukua 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · M Gorases · b Eveleen Kejarukua | 9 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 39.13 |
| Rita Musamalibowled · M Mwatile 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Mwatile | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Stephanie Nampiinacaught · Sune Wittmann · M Mwatile 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sune Wittmann · b M Mwatile | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 106.67 |
| not out |
| 24* |
| 23 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 104.35 |
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 10 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 5 | 0 |
| S Tuhadeleni1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Eveleen Kejarukua0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Mwatile0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kayleen Green0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Sune Wittmann0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-13 (E Iloku, 1.5) · 2-32 (Immaculate Nakisuuyi, 8.4) · 3-37 (Rita Musamali, 9.4) · 4-62 (Stephanie Nampiina, 13.5)
Recorded target: 125 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 39/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 57/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 63/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 73/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 78/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 84/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 87/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 93/4 |
| 20 | 8 | 101/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.