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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
23 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 71%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Pradhancaught · Ali Dawood · Rizwan Butt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Dawood · b Rizwan Butt | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Tenjin Rabgeycaught · Junaid Aziz · Imran Anwar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Junaid Aziz · b Imran Anwar | 13 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 44.83 |
| Thinley Jamtshobowled · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Namgay Thinleycaught · Rizwan Butt · Imran Anwar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rizwan Butt · b Imran Anwar | 17 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 65.38 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorjinot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 29 | 0 | 1 | 79.31 |
| run out · Ahmer Bin Nasir, Abdul Majeed |
| 16 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 123.08 |
| Gakul Ghalleybowled · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| T Wangchukbowled · Rizwan Butt 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rizwan Butt | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Tshering Tashinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Khan (5)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Sohail Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (S Pradhan, 3.3) · 2-9 (Thinley Jamtsho, 3.5) · 3-34 (Tenjin Rabgey, 10.0) · 4-41 (Namgay Thinley, 12.0) · 5-66 (J Singye, 16.4) · 6-66 (Gakul Ghalley, 17.2) · 7-74 (T Wangchuk, 18.4)
Recorded target: 176 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 9/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 14/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 16/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 21/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 34/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 36/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 41/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 44/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 47/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 52/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 63/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 66/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 70/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 74/7 |
| 20 | 11 | 85/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.