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West Indies tour of England · 2024 · Men
18 Jul 2024 · Test
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitecaught · Ollie Pope · Gus Atkinson8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Gus Atkinson | 48 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Mikyle Louiscaught · Harry Brook · Shoaib Bashir 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Shoaib Bashir | 21 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 51.22 |
| Kirk McKenziecaught · Ben Stokes · Shoaib Bashir 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Stokes · b Shoaib Bashir | 11 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 40.74 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Harry Brook · Ben Stokes 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Ben Stokes | 82 | 99 | 10 | 1 |
| 82.83 |
| Kavem Hodgelbw · Chris Woakes 19 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Chris Woakes | 120 | 171 | 19 | 0 | 70.18 |
|---|
 Jason Holdercaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 27 | 76 | 4 | 0 | 35.53 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvanot out10 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 82* | 122 | 10 | 3 | 67.21 |
|---|
| Kevin Sinclaircaught · Harry Brook · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Gus Atkinson | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephcaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 10 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 34.48 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesbowled · Chris Woakes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephcaught · Gus Atkinson · Mark Wood 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Gus Atkinson · b Mark Wood | 33 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 8 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 28.0 | 1 | 84 | 4 | 3.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Gus Atkinson4 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 24.5 | 4 | 107 | 2 | 4.31 | 4 | 1 |
 Mark Wood4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 4 | 71 | 1 | 3.55 | 0 | 1 |
| Shoaib Bashir0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 25.0 | 0 | 108 | 2 | 4.32 | 0 | 1 |
 Ben Stokes0 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 12.0 | 0 | 61 | 1 | 5.08 | 0 | 4 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-53 (Mikyle Louis, 15.0) · 2-78 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 21.3) · 3-84 (Kirk McKenzie, 24.3) · 4-259 (Alick Athanaze, 61.1) · 5-305 (Kavem Hodge, 74.4) · 6-355 (Jason Holder, 86.3) · 7-362 (Kevin Sinclair, 90.0) · 8-386 (Alzarri Joseph, 98.4) · 9-386 (Jayden Seales, 98.5) · 10-457 (Shamar Joseph, 111.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 25/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 32/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 36/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 38/0 |
| 12 | 1 | 39/0 |
| 13 | 9 | 48/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 48/0 |
| 15 | 5 | 53/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 59/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 60/1 |
| 18 | 4 | 64/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 20 | 5 | 74/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 77/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 78/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 79/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 83/2 |
| 25 | 6 | 89/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 89/3 |
| 27 | 1 | 90/3 |
| 28 | 8 | 98/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 99/3 |
| 30 | 2 | 101/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 102/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 104/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 106/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 110/3 |
| 35 | 1 | 111/3 |
| 36 | 1 | 112/3 |
| 37 | 9 | 121/3 |
| 38 | 4 | 125/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 128/3 |
| 40 | 9 | 137/3 |
| 41 | 3 | 140/3 |
| 42 | 4 | 144/3 |
| 43 | 10 | 154/3 |
| 44 | 7 | 161/3 |
| 45 | 7 | 168/3 |
| 46 | 2 | 170/3 |
| 47 | 8 | 178/3 |
| 48 | 7 | 185/3 |
| 49 | 11 | 196/3 |
| 50 | 5 | 201/3 |
| 51 | 7 | 208/3 |
| 52 | 4 | 212/3 |
| 53 | 4 | 216/3 |
| 54 | 2 | 218/3 |
| 55 | 11 | 229/3 |
| 56 | 4 | 233/3 |
| 57 | 8 | 241/3 |
| 58 | 3 | 244/3 |
| 59 | 5 | 249/3 |
| 60 | 6 | 255/3 |
| 61 | 4 | 259/3 |
| 62 | 8 | 267/4 |
| 63 | 5 | 272/4 |
| 64 | 2 | 274/4 |
| 65 | 1 | 275/4 |
| 66 | 9 | 284/4 |
| 67 | 1 | 285/4 |
| 68 | 8 | 293/4 |
| 69 | 2 | 295/4 |
| 70 | 0 | 295/4 |
| 71 | 0 | 295/4 |
| 72 | 0 | 295/4 |
| 73 | 3 | 298/4 |
| 74 | 5 | 303/4 |
| 75 | 6 | 309/5 |
| 76 | 9 | 318/5 |
| 77 | 3 | 321/5 |
| 78 | 2 | 323/5 |
| 79 | 4 | 327/5 |
| 80 | 2 | 329/5 |
| 81 | 6 | 335/5 |
| 82 | 6 | 341/5 |
| 83 | 5 | 346/5 |
| 84 | 5 | 351/5 |
| 85 | 4 | 355/5 |
| 86 | 0 | 355/5 |
| 87 | 1 | 356/6 |
| 88 | 2 | 358/6 |
| 89 | 2 | 360/6 |
| 90 | 2 | 362/7 |
| 91 | 6 | 368/7 |
| 92 | 1 | 369/7 |
| 93 | 1 | 370/7 |
| 94 | 0 | 370/7 |
| 95 | 2 | 372/7 |
| 96 | 3 | 375/7 |
| 97 | 3 | 378/7 |
| 98 | 7 | 385/7 |
| 99 | 1 | 386/9 |
| 100 | 1 | 387/9 |
| 101 | 1 | 388/9 |
| 102 | 6 | 394/9 |
| 103 | 4 | 398/9 |
| 104 | 6 | 404/9 |
| 105 | 6 | 410/9 |
| 106 | 0 | 410/9 |
| 107 | 16 | 426/9 |
| 108 | 3 | 429/9 |
| 109 | 1 | 430/9 |
| 110 | 5 | 435/9 |
| 111 | 18 | 453/9 |
| 112 | 4 | 457/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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