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Bangladesh tour of United Arab Emirates · 2025 · Men
17 May 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 39%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Zohaibcaught · Nazmul Hossain Shanto · Hasan Mahmud 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nazmul Hossain Shanto · b Hasan Mahmud | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Mustafizur Rahman · Tanzim Hasan Sakib 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mustafizur Rahman · b Tanzim Hasan Sakib | 54 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 138.46 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Jaker Ali · Mustafizur Rahman0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jaker Ali · b Mustafizur Rahman | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Mahedi Hasan · Tanzim Hasan Sakib 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mahedi Hasan · b Tanzim Hasan Sakib | 35 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 159.09 |
| Asif Khan |
| caught · Tawhid Hridoy · b Hasan Mahmud |
| 42 |
| 21 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 200.00 |
| D Parasharcaught · Nazmul Hossain Shanto · Tanvir Islam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nazmul Hossain Shanto · b Tanvir Islam | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Sanchit Sharmacaught · Litton Das · Hasan Mahmud 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Hasan Mahmud | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Zuhaib Zubaircaught · Tanzid Hasan · Mustafizur Rahman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tanzid Hasan · b Mustafizur Rahman | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Haider Alicaught · Nazmul Hossain Shanto · Mahedi Hasan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nazmul Hossain Shanto · b Mahedi Hasan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Matiullah Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Jawadullahstumped · Jaker Ali · Mahedi Hasan 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jaker Ali · b Mahedi Hasan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tanzim Hasan Sakib0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mahedi Hasan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 2 | 13.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Hasan Mahmud0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Mustafizur Rahman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanvir Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Muhammad Zohaib, 3.5) · 2-41 (Alishan Sharafu, 4.2) · 3-103 (Waseem Muhammad, 11.2) · 4-131 (Rahul Chopra, 13.1) · 5-134 (D Parashar, 14.4) · 6-154 (Sanchit Sharma, 16.5) · 7-155 (Zuhaib Zubair, 17.2) · 8-157 (Asif Khan, 18.2) · 9-158 (Haider Ali, 19.1) · 10-164 (Muhammad Jawadullah, 20.0)
Recorded target: 192 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 19 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 46/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 52/2 |
| 7 | 19 | 71/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 85/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 91/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 98/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 103/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 106/3 |
| 13 | 25 | 131/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 132/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 139/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 143/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 154/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 157/7 |
| 19 | 1 | 158/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 164/10 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Tanzim Hasan Sakib: Cricket Today · CC BY 3.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamim Hossain: DelwarHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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