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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 52%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 31% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie McCanncaught · Ollie Robinson · Matthew Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Matthew Potts | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Joe Clarkecaught · Ollie Robinson · Kasey Aldridge 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Kasey Aldridge | 43 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 165.38 |
| Jack Haynesnot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 55* | 40 | 4 | 2 | 137.50 |
 Moisés Henriquescaught · Matthew Potts · James Neesham2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Matthew Potts · b James Neesham | 43 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 130.30 |
 |
| not out |
| 7* |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 5 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21.00 | 0 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.73 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Freddie McCann, 1.4) · 2-69 (Joe Clarke, 7.5) · 3-140 (Moisés Henriques, 16.5)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 21 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 42/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 62/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 70/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 75/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 79/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 83/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 90/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 100/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 110/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 119/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 130/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 141/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 150/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 159/3 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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