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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 52%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 31% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Matthew Montgomery | 44 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 162.96 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Patterson-White · b Matthew Montgomery | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 110.00 |
| BS McKinneycaught · Tom Moores · Matthew Montgomery 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Matthew Montgomery | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Daniel Sams | 18 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Oli Stone · b Matthew Montgomery | 22 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 129.41 |
|---|
| James Neeshamcaught · Calvin Harrison · Daniel Sams 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Daniel Sams | 29 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 181.25 |
|---|
| Kasey Aldridgelbw · Daniel Sams 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Daniel Sams | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 162.50 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Oli Stone | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowterrun out · Tom Moores · Daniel Sams 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tom Moores | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Callum Parkinsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddie McCann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-33 (Alex Lees, 3.1) · 2-37 (BS McKinney, 4.0) · 3-47 (Colin Ackermann, 5.1) · 4-70 (Graham Clark, 10.0) · 5-98 (Will Rhodes, 14.0) · 6-111 (Ollie Robinson, 15.4) · 7-143 (Kasey Aldridge, 17.5) · 8-144 (Matthew Potts, 18.1) · 9-154 (James Neesham, 19.4) · 10-156 (Nathan Sowter, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 37/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 47/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 52/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 56/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 60/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 70/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 75/4 |
| 12 | 13 | 88/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 98/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 104/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 112/6 |
| 17 | 21 | 133/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 144/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 150/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 156/10 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.