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Zimbabwe Women tour of Ireland · 2025 · Women
28 Jul 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 33%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Forbescaught · B Biza · K Chigora 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · B Biza · b K Chigora | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Gaby Lewiscaught · Modester Mupachikwa · Loren Tshuma 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b Loren Tshuma | 44 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 74.58 |
| Amy Hunterstumped · Modester Mupachikwa · Francisca Chipare 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Modester Mupachikwa · b Francisca Chipare | 14 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Orla Prendergastnot out 7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 67* | 72 | 7 | 0 | 93.06 |
| Laura Delanybowled · Loren Tshuma 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Loren Tshuma | 18 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 58.06 |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 33% during the match (Ireland: 67% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Chiedza Dhururu · b Loren Tshuma |
| 7 |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 36.84 |
| Louise Littlebowled · Loren Tshuma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Loren Tshuma | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Ava Canningnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 19 | 0 | 1 | 73.68 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Chigora0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 4.29 | 3 | 0 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 5.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Kelis Ndhlovu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.5 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 6.17 | 0 | 0 |
| M Mavunga0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 3.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 35 | 4 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-2 (Sarah Forbes, 0.3) · 2-46 (Amy Hunter, 9.1) · 3-95 (Gaby Lewis, 20.4) · 4-126 (Laura Delany, 28.3) · 5-146 (Leah Paul, 32.1) · 6-148 (Louise Little, 33.0)
Recorded target: 179 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 31/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 32/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 38/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 46/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 55/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 56/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 60/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 63/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 72/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 17 | 7 | 83/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 91/2 |
| 19 | 0 | 91/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 93/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 95/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 97/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 100/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 104/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 107/3 |
| 26 | 8 | 115/3 |
| 27 | 5 | 120/3 |
| 28 | 5 | 125/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 127/4 |
| 30 | 11 | 138/4 |
| 31 | 5 | 143/4 |
| 32 | 3 | 146/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 148/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 152/6 |
| 35 | 5 | 157/6 |
| 36 | 4 | 161/6 |
| 37 | 9 | 170/6 |
| 38 | 2 | 172/6 |
| 39 | 10 | 182/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.