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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
13 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Kuwait more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 32%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 0% to 73% during the match (Kuwait: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedlbw · Meet Bhavsar 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Meet Bhavsar | 28 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 107.69 |
| Faisal Khancaught · Muhammad Umar · Mohomad Aslam 2 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Muhammad Umar · b Mohomad Aslam | 49 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 272.22 |
| Manan Alicaught · Bilal Tahir · Mohomad Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bilal Tahir · b Mohomad Aslam | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sidharth Sankarrun out · Bilal Tahir · Sayed Monib 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Bilal Tahir | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Waji Ul Hassanbowled · Adnan Idrees 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Adnan Idrees | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| bowled · b Meet Bhavsar |
| 2 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 20.00 |
| Usman Khalidcaught · Ravija Sandaruwan · Adnan Idrees 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravija Sandaruwan · b Adnan Idrees | 13 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 76.47 |
|---|
| Zuber Sunasaracaught and bowled · Meet Bhavsar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Meet Bhavsar | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Zain Ul Abidincaught · Clinto Anto · Mohomad Aslam 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clinto Anto · b Mohomad Aslam | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Usman Najeebcaught · Muhammad Umar · Mohomad Aslam 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Muhammad Umar · b Mohomad Aslam | 19 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 118.75 |
|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sayed Monib0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Meet Bhavsar1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-61 (Faisal Khan, 4.2) · 2-61 (Manan Ali, 4.4) · 3-84 (Sidharth Sankar, 7.5) · 4-92 (Abdul Waheed, 9.2) · 5-92 (Waji Ul Hassan, 10.1) · 6-96 (Zuhair Muhammad, 11.5) · 7-109 (Usman Khalid, 15.0) · 8-109 (Zuber Sunasara, 15.1) · 9-135 (Zain Ul Abidin, 18.3) · 10-136 (Usman Najeeb, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 28/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 43/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 55/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 66/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 73/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 85/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 92/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 92/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 94/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 96/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 99/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 101/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 109/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 115/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 119/8 |
| 18 | 13 | 132/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 136/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.