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India tour of South Africa · 2023/24 · Men
3 Jan 2024 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalbowled · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Rohit Sharmacaught · Marco Jansen · Nandre Burger7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Nandre Burger | 39 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 78.00 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Marco Jansen · Nandre Burger5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Nandre Burger | 36 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 65.45 |
| caught · Aiden Markram · b Kagiso Rabada |
| 46 |
| 59 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 77.97 |
 Shreyas Iyercaught · Kyle Verreynne · Nandre Burger0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Nandre Burger | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 KL Rahulcaught · Kyle Verreynne · Lungi Ngidi1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Lungi Ngidi | 8 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 24.24 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Marco Jansen · Lungi Ngidi0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Lungi Ngidi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Marco Jansen · Lungi Ngidi0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Lungi Ngidi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajrun out · Nandre Burger · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nandre Burger | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnacaught · Aiden Markram · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Kagiso Rabada | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mukesh Kumarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 5 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.5 | 2 | 38 | 3 | 3.21 | 5 | 0 |
 Lungi Ngidi1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 30 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 3 |
| Nandre Burger2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 42 | 3 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Marco Jansen2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 3.22 | 0 | 2 |
1-17 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 2.1) · 2-72 (Rohit Sharma, 14.2) · 3-105 (Shubman Gill, 21.0) · 4-110 (Shreyas Iyer, 22.2) · 5-153 (KL Rahul, 33.1) · 6-153 (Ravindra Jadeja, 33.3) · 7-153 (Jasprit Bumrah, 33.5) · 8-153 (Virat Kohli, 34.2) · 9-153 (Mohammed Siraj, 34.4) · 10-153 (Prasidh Krishna, 34.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 52/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 53/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 58/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 62/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 67/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 71/1 |
| 15 | 9 | 80/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 90/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 94/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 96/2 |
| 19 | 0 | 96/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 101/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 105/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 110/3 |
| 23 | 0 | 110/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 111/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 114/4 |
| 26 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 27 | 10 | 129/4 |
| 28 | 1 | 130/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 134/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 138/4 |
| 31 | 6 | 144/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 148/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 153/4 |
| 34 | 0 | 153/7 |
| 35 | 0 | 153/10 |
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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