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Photo: Sankarshan Mukhopadhyay from Pune, India
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Women's World Cup · 2025/26 · Women
2 Nov 2025 · ODI
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, Navi Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 65%; India batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laura Wolvaardtcaught · Amanjot Kaur · Deepti Sharma11 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Amanjot Kaur · b Deepti Sharma | 101 | 98 | 11 | 1 | 103.06 |
| Tazmin Britsrun out · Amanjot Kaur · Renuka Singh 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Amanjot Kaur | 23 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 65.71 |
| Anne Boschlbw · Shree Charani 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shree Charani | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Suné Luuscaught and bowled · Shafali Verma 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Shafali Verma | 25 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 80.65 |
 Marizanne Kapp |
India's chances ranged from 62% to 100% during the match (South Africa: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Richa Ghosh · b Shafali Verma |
| 4 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
| Sinalo Jaftacaught · Radha Yadav · Deepti Sharma 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Radha Yadav · b Deepti Sharma | 16 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 55.17 |
|---|
| Annerie Dercksenbowled · Deepti Sharma 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Deepti Sharma | 35 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 94.59 |
|---|
 Chloe Tryonlbw · Deepti Sharma1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Deepti Sharma | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Nadine de Klerkcaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Deepti Sharma 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Deepti Sharma | 18 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 94.74 |
|---|
 Ayabonga Khakarun out · Deepti Sharma, Richa Ghosh · Shree Charani0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Deepti Sharma, Richa Ghosh | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
 Nonkululeko Mlabanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 12 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Renuka Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 3.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Amanjot Kaur0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.3 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 4.11 | 1 | 0 |
| Shree Charani0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 5.33 | 7 | 1 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Shafali Verma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 5.14 | 0 | 0 |
1-51 (Tazmin Brits, 9.3) · 2-62 (Anne Bosch, 11.5) · 3-114 (Suné Luus, 20.2) · 4-123 (Marizanne Kapp, 22.1) · 5-148 (Sinalo Jafta, 29.3) · 6-209 (Annerie Dercksen, 39.3) · 7-220 (Laura Wolvaardt, 41.1) · 8-221 (Chloe Tryon, 41.4) · 9-246 (Ayabonga Khaka, 45.0) · 10-246 (Nadine de Klerk, 45.3)
Recorded target: 299 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 26/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 33/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 44/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 51/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 52/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 59/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 62/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 69/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 71/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 78/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 84/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 95/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 100/2 |
| 19 | 9 | 109/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 113/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 118/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 123/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 124/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 125/4 |
| 25 | 2 | 127/4 |
| 26 | 7 | 134/4 |
| 27 | 4 | 138/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 141/4 |
| 29 | 5 | 146/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 150/5 |
| 31 | 6 | 156/5 |
| 32 | 17 | 173/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 175/5 |
| 34 | 4 | 179/5 |
| 35 | 4 | 183/5 |
| 36 | 3 | 186/5 |
| 37 | 8 | 194/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 198/5 |
| 39 | 9 | 207/5 |
| 40 | 4 | 211/6 |
| 41 | 9 | 220/6 |
| 42 | 1 | 221/8 |
| 43 | 8 | 229/8 |
| 44 | 3 | 232/8 |
| 45 | 14 | 246/9 |
| 46 | 0 | 246/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shafali Verma: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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